赌博系统抑或是一种谬论?

  因为只要赌场存在,或者任何赌博游戏的存在,人们一直在试图制定一套制度,使他们获得优势。在这个地球上,有些伟大的思想家试图破解赌场代码。毫无疑问,这这些伟人已经发展和丰富了统计理论。特别是爱因斯坦,爱因斯坦曾利用统计理论在赌博系统上击败轮盘赌博。他的名言是:“只有这样,才能击败轮盘。”

  许多系统围绕你打赌多少,什么时候打赌,尤其是什么你增加或减少您的赌注。最合适负的投注进展系统,或积极投注进展系统两者种类型:

  负的进展系统

  在一个消极的进展系统中,您损失了您增加赌注后,试图夺回任何损失。一个例子是鞅系统。在这个系统中,您双击您亏损后的赌注。负级数的危险是,它可以使你逐级损失,如果你没有一个严格的止损限额设置(总是设置止损限额的方式!)

  积极进取系统

  在这些系统中,您尝试利用连胜。如果你知道什么时候结束你的连胜,你会是这些系统的优胜者。基本的思想是,尽量减少您的投注的负面运行和最大限度地积极运行。在某些方面,这些都是比负系统安全,在你不打算让自己得到一个巨大的资金漏洞。如果你输了,但你只赌一场而已。但是,如果你错误地预测您的连胜纪录的长度,您可能亏损您所有打赌的利润。

  Paroli系统

  Paroli系统在您strart帮您选择一个连胜号码。手气不错?然后3连胜。感觉非常棒,你会产生一个想法,继续4连胜。你要阻止这样的想法。

  所以,你打赌10英镑,第一赌注,你赢了。恭喜你,您现在已经有20英镑。在第二次赌注,你打赌20英镑,你再次获胜。你现在有40英镑。正是在这一点上,你必须决定是否退出,暂停或者继续您的运行。

  如果你的进展被其他因素中断了,重新开始并精简赌注,然后再尝试一次。您的总体目标是体验到更多的成功运行,如果不成功,要把风险分解化。

  但需要明白,你是不能以任何方式增加您的整体赔率的。你能做的是在开始之前思考您的战略。你在赌桌旁,并试图有条不紊地发挥(这是什么坏事)。设置一个预算,一个你能承受的利润目标和止损限额设置就行了。

  也请记住,你玩的时间越长,你就越有可能丢失您的钱,吃的房子边缘或“赌场税”。有人会告诉你,他们一般都喜欢聘请“打了运行”的策略,使他们的赌注大,希望大赢。

  译文:

  For as long casinos have been in existence, or any gambling games for that matter, people have been trying to devise a system that will allow them to gain an advantage. Some of the greatest thinkers on the planet have tried to crack the casino code- and without doubt this has helped develop mathmatical theory, and in particular statistical theory. Einstein worked on a system to beat Roulette. His famous quote was “The only way to beat Roulette is to steal the money when the dealer’s not looking.”, but it was not for wont of trying.

  Many systems centre around how much and when you bet, and particularly when you increase or decrease your wager. Most fit into 2 types: negative betting progression systems, or positive betting progression systems (or are a mix of the 2)。

  Negative Progression Systems

  In a negative progression system you increase your wager after a loss to try and claw back any losses. An example would be the Martingale System. In this system you double your bet after a loss. The danger with negative progressions is that they can cause you to chase losses if you do not have a strict stop loss limit set (always set a stop loss limit by the way!)

  Positive Progression Systems

  In these systems, you try and capitalise on winning streaks. If you knew exactly when your winning streaks ended, you would be on to a winner with these systems, as the idea is to minimise your bets on negative runs and maximise them on positive runs. In some ways these are safer than negative systems, in that you are not going to get yourself into a huge hole if you lose, since you only bet after a win. BUT, if you wrongly predict the length of your winning streak, you may wipe out your profits in bet.

  Paroli System

  In the Paroli system you strart off by selecting a winning streak number. Feeling lucky? Then go for 3 wins in a row. Feeling Irish? Go for 4 wins in a row. You get the idea.

  So make your first bet of say ?10 and you win. Congratulations. You now have ?20 (assuming you went for a bet that pays out even money)。 On your 2nd bet you place ?20 and you win again. You now have ?40. It is at this point you must decide whether to pull out and start over or continue on your run. Always make a plan before the session and stick with it. Don’t decide on the fly.

  If you lose during the progression, begin again with your starter bet and try again. Your overall aim is to experience more successful runs that unsuccessful. Just break it down into mini-sessions.

  Do They Work?

  Well, yes thay can work- but understand that you are not increasing your overall odds in any way. All you are doing is thinking your strategy out before you hit the tables and attempting to play methodically (which is no bad thing)。 Set a budget that you don’t mind losing and a profit target and stop loss limit that is set in stone and off you go.

  Remember, also, that the longer you spend playing, the more likely you are to have your money eaten away by the house edge or “casino tax” as we like to call it. Talk to High Rollers and they will tell you that they generally like to employ a “Hit and Run” strategy whereby they bet big, hopefully win big and then go AWOL by switching tables, games, casinos or by ending their session.

  If you are new to progression systems, start off with a Positive Progression System like the Paroli- they are safer. Or play the free games and test the systems out there.